The Globe: Investing in the Post-Recession World

Reprint: R1101N

Now that the global recession is officially over, multinationals are starting to weigh their options for foreign investment. But everywhere they look, negatives vie with positives, and government actions and contradictory economic trends confuse the picture: Brazil is planning to spend while Australia is cutting back. Trade tensions are rising between the United States and China. Indonesia tempts inflation by keeping rates low.

Managers need a way to cut through the chaos and figure out which countries are the best bets and which pose the greatest risks. The authors, drawing on Eurasia Group’s political analyses and on economic databases, have assigned scores to a selection of countries on the basis of their macroeconomic conditions and foreign investment environments. The result is a practical guide for determining where growth is likely, which governments are encouraging or impeding foreign investment, and which sectors provide the greatest opportunities. Some of the results are surprising.